China’s Military Adventurism Is Ill-Timed; ‘Germany Before WWI’


Fortuna's Corner

http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303345104579286480552285954
China’s Military Adventurism is Ill-Timed
Beijing’s smart economic policies hardly guarantee wisdom in foreign affairs. Just think of Germany before World War I.
By Edward N. Luttwak
Dec. 29, 2013 11:22 a.m. ET
On Dec. 5, a Chinese naval vessel deliberately attempted to block a U.S. Navy cruiser in international waters. And in a startling revelation, U.S. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel has confirmed to the press that at one point only 100 yards separated the two vessels. That raises an important question: Why did the Chinese commanders think it a good idea to provoke a near-collision with a U.S. warship?
A growing record of encounters suggests that Chinese naval officers have career incentives to act provocatively, even at the risk of deadly incidents. So do their counterparts in the army. Forces under the Lanzhou Military Region, in China’s west, thought it smart to seize Indian-controlled terrain in Ladakh this…

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